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Bitcoin (BTC) Will Crash When Saylor Stops Buying, Peter Schiff Predicts
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Good morning Guys @phaverapp X @farcaster Keep Phavering. @lens/phaver
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GM ☀️ What's happening on Base ? 👀
All 273,467 Lens Profiles are still early.
Budapest, Hungary 🇭🇺
Crypto Industry Players in Hong Kong Call for Swift Approval of Bitcoin ETFs Authorities in Hong Kong have been urged to approve spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds in order to cement the region’s position as the financial hub of Asia. Industry participants believe that launching this ahead of the U.S. will enhance Hong Kong’s status in the global cryptocurrency market. Approving Spot Ethereum ETFs Ahead the U.S. Players in Hong Kong’s cryptocurrency industry have urged authorities to expedite the approval and eventual launch of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), according to a report. These industry players fear that the ongoing delay in launching the ETFs will disadvantage Asian investors, some key players in Hong Kong argue. A local report indicates that Hong Kong’s monetary authorities began accepting applications for spot bitcoin ETFs in December 2023, but no related products have been launched to date. The report also revealed that the authorities are considering the approval of spot ethereum ETFs. Industry participants believe that launching this ahead of the U.S. will enhance Hong Kong’s status in the global cryptocurrency market. Weng Xiaoqi, the CEO of Hashkey Exchange, commented on the impact of spot Bitcoin ETFs approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). He said that the delay in approving Bitcoin ETFs could potentially expose Asian investors to higher fees. “The delayed launch of spot ETFs in half a year also means that It will be half a year later for U.S. capital to enter the market. At that time, it will face higher purchase costs and entry points and will have to bear the risk of being locked in by U.S. capital,” Xiaoqi reportedly said. To expedite the launch of crypto ETFs in Hong Kong, the CEO disclosed that his exchange platform and its partners are actively advocating for this. Many in Hong Kong anticipate that the ETFs’ launch will attract significant capital to the region. Xiaoqi argued about the potential benefits of Hong Kong launching an ethereum spot ETF first. He believes this would solidify its status as Asia’s financial hub and surpass the United States as the leader in the global encryption market.
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hard work
I've put my EVERYTHING into this 11teenmillion times over the past 2+ years but here we go again
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a busy day
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祥龙入海，瑞雪迎春 **瑞雪迎春春意早，祥龙入海海潮回。** **忽从至暗翻空出，便向黎明闪亮堆。** **涤荡泥沙成甲胄，和融水电蕴风雷。千** **般姿态千般秀，总是天公一念追。**
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$ 60,000 Bitcoin Incoming if This Happens, According to Crypto Analyst Kevin SvensonCryptocurrency analyst and trader Kevin Svenson believes Bitcoin (BTC) could be on the cusp of a rally over the coming days and weeks. Svenson tells his 71,600 YouTube subscribers that a weekly Bitcoin close above the resistance zone of around $ 44,000 opens up the possibility of the flagship crypto asset rallying by a little over 40% from the current level. If Bitcoin’s weekly closes above resistance this would give us a sign that the market is starting to favor the bullish side, that the bulls have the control which gives us reason to have a bullish bias… So if that does occur and the price is able to run towards this wick high [at close to $ 49,000] eventually, whether that takes one week, two weeks, three weeks… if we get up to that wick high and you actually get a break above that level then all the positions that are still short are considered trapped liquidity. Because they have no choice anymore. The price is above the wick high, all of their positions are underwater and there is nowhere else to go… Which lands us at over $ 60,000 that is the target for this setup, this theoretical trapped liquidity setup for the bullish side. Svenson also says that several other factors favor a bullish bias for Bitcoin. “If we don’t break $ 49,000, then the setup is not really there. If we are able to do that, that’s likely going to give us quick momentum because it creates a lot of market inefficiencies where there’s multiple factors playing in. We have the trending market, the higher lows, the high degree of demand for Bitcoin right now… I mean there’s a lot of factors that begin to play into this major move that could take place on a break of $ 49,000. Could easily land us up there [around $ 60,000]. But the other factor that I’m thinking about too is a psychological factor, which is that most people are going to want to be invested before the halving. Anybody that knows about Bitcoin, that knows about the halving, that’s been watching the news recently, they’re probably going to want to buy before the halving.”
Yummy Saturday 🍭
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当合规和全球化发展成为了加密行业的主旋律，哪家机构能够快速在全球市场上做好合规，也必然会在加密行业的下一轮发展周期上拔得头筹。
Lofoten Islands, Norway 🇳🇴
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**AltLayer：将于1月25日起开放ALT空投认领，第一季空投总量为3亿枚** 【转贴】1月23日消息，AltLayer将在官方Twitter、Discord与Telegram公布ALT空投认领网站，认领时间为2024年1月25日至2月25日，空投总量为3亿枚ALT，占总供应量3%。该3亿枚ALT空投的35.47%将分配给NFT持有者，37.07将分配给Altitude Campaign参与者，13.05%将分配给EigenLayer再质押用户，4.49%将分配给EigenLayer生态系统合作伙伴、9.92%将分配给Celestia质押者等，所有空投快照时间已于北京时间1月17日20:00:11完成。同时，AltLayer公布向EigenLayer、Renzo、ether.fi、KelpDAO再质押者的空投规则，即ALT代币数量基于不同层级的再质押积分系统。AltLayer还为Celestia质押社区分配资金，不过TIA质押者的认购网站还处于WIP阶段，将在币安上的代币发行后准备就绪。此外，AltLayer还表示将稍后向社区公布空投第二季活动。
Bitcoin Plummets Below $ 40K for First Time in 48 Days, Triggering Market-Wide Crypto Slide On Monday, Jan. 22, 2024, the value of bitcoin fell below the $ 40K mark for the first time in 48 days, as per market analysis. In the last 24 hours, bitcoin witnessed a 4% decline, with a 14.2% decrease observed over the preceding two weeks. Bears Take the Reigns—Bitcoin Falls Under $ 40K Amid Market Turbulence Since early December 2023, specifically since Dec. 5, 2023, bitcoin’s price has remained above the $ 40K threshold. The leading crypto asset in terms of market value reached a peak of $ 49,000 on Jan. 10, 2024. However, this high was short-lived. Subsequently, the price descended to the $ 45K bracket. Over the recent days, it has struggled to maintain its stance in the $ 40K territory, eventually dipping below this threshold at 2:15 p.m. Eastern Time (ET) on Monday afternoon. Currently, the value of bitcoin has dropped to approximately $ 39,400, with a trade volume of about $ 25.81 billion at 2:15 p.m., a significant increase from the $ 16.58 billion recorded at 8:00 a.m. (ET). Short-term indicators reveal that bitcoin (BTC) is undergoing a downward trend, marked by heightened volatility and a notable decline in its worth. The surge in trading volume during this downturn hints at a possible panic-induced selling spree, especially as the price falls below the $ 40,000 level, a key psychological support point.The recent dip in BTC’s price has also filled a CME gap that existed around the $ 39,600 mark. In the hour following the plunge, bitcoin long positions amounting to $ 25.57 million have been liquidated, with $ 65.78 million in BTC longs eliminated over the entire day.This downturn in bitcoin’s value has triggered a ripple effect across numerous cryptocurrencies, contributing to the overall $ 1.59 trillion crypto market economy’s 3.02% decline on Monday. Ethereum has dropped by 6%, BNB by 4.5%, SOL by 9.4%, and XRP has seen a 4.7% decrease in the same timeframe.
Bitcoin Setting Up for Price Explosion if Pattern Plays Out, According to Glassnode Founders – Here’s Their TargetThe co-founders of the crypto analytics firm Glassnode think Bitcoin (BTC) could be primed for a parabolic rise if the top digital asset repeats a particular pattern. Glassnode co-founders Jan Happel and Yann Allemann, who share the Negentropic handle on the social media platform X, draw attention to the quote “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes,” which is often attributed to Mark Twain. According to Happel and Allemann, Bitcoin looks poised to replicate a pattern witnessed during the last two bull markets as BTC creates a bull flag in the weekly chart. “BTC has moved to the 6.618 Fibonacci extension after a bull flag correction. We are currently in a small correction like in late 2017 and late 2020. Will history rhyme in 2024 – and BTC move to its 6.618 Fib extension in this bull market? That would give us a target of ~$ 120,000. Time will tell!” Traders use Fibonacci extensions in technical analysis to estimate profit targets and price pullbacks. They are based on Fibonacci ratios. Bitcoin is trading at $ 40,021 at time of writing. The top-ranked crypto asset by market cap is down about 3% in the past 24 hours. The Glassnode co-founders also appear bullish on equities. “Trend following is a strong investment strategy! Ask yourself: ‘Why am I bearish equities in current technical setup?’ Nasdaq has just surpassed former all-time highs. It is above its three-month SMA [simple moving average] and its 12-month SMA. And [its] three-month SMA is above [its] 12-month SMA. RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 66 (= strong momentum). MACD (moving average convergence divergence) is bullish and rising. The RSI measures the price momentum of an asset on a scale of 0 to 100. A level of 30 and below indicates oversold conditions, while a reading of 70 and above suggests overbought conditions. Meanwhile, the MACD is traditionally used to spot trend reversals and confirm trends
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Grayscale’s 4,000 Bitcoin Transfer Worth $ 175M Stirs Market Speculation Amid Record ETF Trading Volume Recent blockchain analytics reveal that 4,000 bitcoins, valued at approximately $ 175 million, have been transferred from addresses believed to be controlled by Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust, commonly referred to as GBTC. Records indicate that these transfers occurred in four separate batches of 1,000 bitcoins each, directed towards Coinbase. Arkham Data Shows Flagged Grayscale Wallets Sent 4,000 Bitcoin to Coinbase The financial world is currently abuzz, especially following the debut of the new spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), which saw a staggering $ 4.6 billion in trading volume on its first day. Concurrently, bitcoin’s value has experienced a 5.5% decline relative to the U.S. dollar. Amidst these market movements, it was observed on Friday that Grayscale’s reserves diminished by 4,000 BTC, equivalent to $ 175 million based on the prevailing exchange rates. While there is no absolute confirmation of the specific addresses Grayscale uses for its BTC holdings, Arkham Intelligence had previously identified the company’s wallets in September 2023. Arkham’s analysis at that time highlighted that the trust’s bitcoin assets were dispersed “across [more than] 1,750 different addresses, with each holding no more than 1,000 [bitcoin].” However, as of Friday, Jan. 12, 2024, Grayscale’s official website states that their bitcoin holdings amount to 619,162 BTC. Arkham’s records show that the last movement of funds from Grayscale’s wallets occurred two weeks ago, with the destination being Coinbase.Although these funds are being transferred to Coinbase, it’s not definitive whether they are being sold or if Coinbase is merely reassigning them to different addresses for custody purposes. Despite the lack of certainty, many speculators on social media often infer that such transfers are indicative of sales. While this could be the case, it is important to note that there is no concrete evidence to confirm these assumptions. Data further indicates that more than $ 3 billion was traded across all spot bitcoin ETFs on Friday, with GBTC, Blackrock’s IBIT, and Bitwise’s BITB at the forefront of this activity. In an update to his followers on the social media platform X, Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart clarified that the total net inflows amounted to $ 655 million. On Friday, the blockchain analytics and explorer service, Arkham, took to social media to post “Arkham Data. Where else can you watch ETF assets being settled in real-time?” This post was accompanied by a link to the identified Grayscale wallets, sparking further interest in the matter. Social media rapidly buzzed with the unfolding news. One user commented on platform X: Looks like Wall Street finally has enough exit liquidity from the ETF news cycle to dump their bags now. As of the latest update, Arkham’s tracking of identified wallets indicates that Grayscale manages 621,853 BTC, valued at $ 27 billion. Furthermore, Arkham’s data reveals that Grayscale possesses 2.9 million Ethereum (ETH).
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Prague, Czech Republic 🇨🇿
Solana (SOL) jumps 20% to reclaim lost glory, here's what's aheadThe broader digital currency ecosystem is on a bullish recovery course, and Solana (SOL) is arguably a big beneficiary of this ongoing rally. The top altcoin has solidified its ranking as the fifth largest coin with its 20.1% jump in the past 24 hours, pegging its price at $ 102.36. This latest rally has helped Solana reclaim the $ 100 resistance point, sending it as high as $ 103.80 in the past 24 hours Solana bulls enter greed Solana’s ecosystem metrics are proof that this new rally might be onto something intriguing. With the current outlook, Solana’s weekly performance is gradually paring off the mega losses it has accrued as prices are still down 10% in this period. However, on the monthly charts, Solana has jumped by more than 30% to date. Another crucial indicator that Solana might be primed for a more momentary surge is the return of sentiment among traders. While on-chain data currently shows buyer enthusiasm marked by the 43.36% jump in trading volume to $ 4,126,722,552, Solana bulls have notably entered the "Greed" territory, implying that more capital inflow may be recorded in the coming days. Solana meme coin ecosystem revival Despite the relatively steeper rate of growth, Solana’s performance is closely tied to that of Bitcoin (BTC), the top coin currently positively reshaping market sentiment at the moment. In that light, Solana’s meme coins are also bound to see a revival with the digital currency trending higher Flagship meme coin BONK has taken a massive beating from its bears with previously hyped new entrants like Dogwifhat losing steam as new price floors get created. Overall, while the ongoing Solana resurgence may send the coin’s price to $ 110 as the next target in the short term, it can also stir an unprecedented revival in its meme coin ecosystem along the way.
Concerns Mount Over Potential SEC Rejection of Spot Bitcoin ETFs, Analyst Weighs InThe possibility of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) rejecting spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) became a concern after financial watchdog group Better Markets called on the securities regulator to reject spot bitcoin ETFs, warning that approvals will lead to “financial carnage” and “massive investor harm.” The SEC is expected to make a decision on spot bitcoin ETFs early next week, and trading could begin as soon as Jan. 11. Will SEC Reject Spot Bitcoin ETF Applications? Concerns gripped the crypto community following Friday’s letter from Better Markets, a financial watchdog group, urging the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to reject spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The group argued that the SEC has a legal obligation to deny these applications, warning of potential “financial carnage” and “massive investor harm” if spot bitcoin ETFs are approved. The group features Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) as a top testimonial on its website and its CEO is reportedly close to SEC Chairman Gary Gensler. Following Bloomberg’s report on Friday that “the SEC hasn’t voted” and some interpreting this as a possible “rug pull,” Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas offered his analysis, explaining why a “rug pull” is unlikely. He pointed out that the SEC has never voted on any bitcoin ETFs, neither for spot bitcoin ETF rejections nor bitcoin futures approvals. “They were denied or approved via ‘Delegated Authority,'” he clarified, adding that the same method “would make sense here too since this has been a ’10th floor’ driven initiative since the Grayscale win.” Secondly, the analyst detailed: If they did vote they’d have to have publicly scheduled a meeting. Next one is on the 11th but that would be too late for 1/11 launch, so prob not relevant. The deadline for the SEC to make a decision on a spot bitcoin ETF this year is Jan. 10 for a joint proposal from Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest and 21shares Moreover, he said if there were a vote, it’s hard to imagine that SEC Chairman Gary Gensler would vote no because “there’s no basis to deny” and “he is literally the one who directed the [SEC] staff to put in thousands of man hours to work with 11 [spot bitcoin ETF] issuers on 5-10 rounds of comments, and most recently telling them they want these lined up for 1/11 launch.” Nonetheless, the analyst stressed: “We still won’t go to 100% odds [of approval] until SEC makes it official (just like ESPN won’t go to 100% winning chance until the game is literally over regardless of score).” The SEC is expected to make a decision on spot bitcoin ETFs early next week. Citing multiple sources, Balchunas stated on Friday that final S-1 filings are due at 8 a.m. on Monday, noting that the SEC is attempting to line up spot bitcoin ETFs for launch on Jan. 11.