sweiz (@sweiz) • Hey
sweiz (@sweiz) • Hey
Publications
- Record Low Bitcoin Volatility Signals Maturing Market 比特币波动率屡创历史新低 预示市场日趋成熟
Bitcoin has historically been seen as a highly volatile asset, but its volatility has hit new lows, heralding the maturing of the original cryptocurrency market.
比特币历来被视为一种高度波动的资产，但其波动性屡创新低，预示原始加密货币市场的成熟。
In the short term, Bitcoin has experienced volatility in the last week, with prices fluctuating from $66,000 on Wednesday morning to nearly $70,000 later in the day. By the end of the week, the flagship token closed at just over $66,600, based on the Kaiko BTC benchmark reference rate. Overall, bitcoin is down a little more than 4 percent over the last week, with selling exceeding buying on almost all exchanges. Despite the rollercoaster ride driven by macro news, Bitcoin is already showing signs of maturity heading into 2024.
在短期内，随着美国宏观经济的更新，比特币上周经历了波动，价格从周三早上的66,000美元波动到当天晚些时候的近70,000美元。到本周末，根据Kaiko BTC基准参考利率，旗舰代币收于略高于66,600美元。总体而言，比特币上周下跌了4%多一点，几乎所有交易所的卖出量都超过了买入量。尽管在宏观消息的推动下坐过山车，但比特币已经在2024年显示出成熟的迹象。
- Record Low Bitcoin Volatility Signals Maturing Market 比特币波动率屡创历史新低 预示市场日趋成熟
Bitcoin has historically been seen as a highly volatile asset, but its volatility has hit new lows, heralding the maturing of the original cryptocurrency market.
比特币历来被视为一种高度波动的资产，但其波动性屡创新低，预示原始加密货币市场的成熟。
In the short term, Bitcoin has experienced volatility in the last week, with prices fluctuating from $66,000 on Wednesday morning to nearly $70,000 later in the day. By the end of the week, the flagship token closed at just over $66,600, based on the Kaiko BTC benchmark reference rate. Overall, bitcoin is down a little more than 4 percent over the last week, with selling exceeding buying on almost all exchanges. Despite the rollercoaster ride driven by macro news, Bitcoin is already showing signs of maturity heading into 2024.
在短期内，随着美国宏观经济的更新，比特币上周经历了波动，价格从周三早上的66,000美元波动到当天晚些时候的近70,000美元。到本周末，根据Kaiko BTC基准参考利率，旗舰代币收于略高于66,600美元。总体而言，比特币上周下跌了4%多一点，几乎所有交易所的卖出量都超过了买入量。尽管在宏观消息的推动下坐过山车，但比特币已经在2024年显示出成熟的迹象。
- Federal Reserve Prepares for Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency Surge 美联储为比特币、加密货币暴涨做好准备
#后市趋势 After the Federal Reserve prepared for the skyrocketing prices of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple, and quietly admitted that gold was replacing the dollar, The International Monetary Fund (ING) warned of a severe dollar crash, citing a "substantial" decline in the dollar's share of foreign reserves allocated by central banks and governments.
美联储为比特币、以太坊和瑞波币的加密货币价格暴涨做准备，并悄然承认黄金正在取代美元之后，国际货币基金组织(ING)发出美元严重崩盘警告，提到美元在各国央行和政府分配的外汇储备份额将“大幅”下降。
"The Fed now recognizes that some countries are turning to gold and bitcoin," Balaji Srinivasan, a tech investor and former CTO of Coinbase, said in a Twitter post, referring to 3 billion people. As a result, 37.5% of the world's population is shifting from the US dollar to gold and bitcoin.
“美联储现在承认一些国家正在转向黄金和比特币，”科技投资者、前Coinbase首席技术官Balaji Srinivasan在推特上发帖称，美联储所说的“一小部分人”代表着30亿人。因此，全球37.5%的人正在从美元转向黄金和比特币。
- Federal Reserve Prepares for Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency Surge 美联储为比特币、加密货币暴涨做好准备
#后市趋势 After the Federal Reserve prepared for the skyrocketing prices of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple, and quietly admitted that gold was replacing the dollar, The International Monetary Fund (ING) warned of a severe dollar crash, citing a "substantial" decline in the dollar's share of foreign reserves allocated by central banks and governments.
美联储为比特币、以太坊和瑞波币的加密货币价格暴涨做准备，并悄然承认黄金正在取代美元之后，国际货币基金组织(ING)发出美元严重崩盘警告，提到美元在各国央行和政府分配的外汇储备份额将“大幅”下降。
"The Fed now recognizes that some countries are turning to gold and bitcoin," Balaji Srinivasan, a tech investor and former CTO of Coinbase, said in a Twitter post, referring to 3 billion people. As a result, 37.5% of the world's population is shifting from the US dollar to gold and bitcoin.
“美联储现在承认一些国家正在转向黄金和比特币，”科技投资者、前Coinbase首席技术官Balaji Srinivasan在推特上发帖称，美联储所说的“一小部分人”代表着30亿人。因此，全球37.5%的人正在从美元转向黄金和比特币。
- Bitcoin Price Needs to 'Hit an All-Time High' to End the Selling Cycle
比特币价格需要“创下历史新高”、才能结束抛售周期
Over the past few months, Bitcoin shorts have been selling at every rally, and I think the increased liquidity driven by Bitcoin's "record highs" will help break this cycle.过去几个月，比特币空头在每次反弹时都在抛售，我认为，比特币“创历史新高”推动的流动性提升将有助于打破这一循环。
In the re-accumulation interval after the halving, this situation may continue until September 2024. Fifty Thousand believes that this cycle is full of re-accumulation ranges and that there will inevitably be an upside breakout over time. 在减半后的重新积累区间内，这种情况可能会持续到 2024 年 9 月。五万认为，这个周期充满了重新积累区间，随着时间的推移，不可避免地会出现上行突破。
- After Bitcoin and Ethereum briefly surged to $70,000 and $3,657 on June 12, they were unable to sustainably break through key resistance levels and have now fallen back to $66,000 and $3,500 levels. As the market points to the Fed's hawkish dot plot, which lowers forecasts for just one rate cut this year, I have a different perspective. I believe this is due to the post-halving capitulation that Bitcoin miners are experiencing, directly limiting price increases. Crypto markets are set for a quiet summer with lower volumes and the absence of any obvious catalysts to move the market. In addition, 10x Research also warned about the trend of Bitcoin after halving in its April report. Its analysts predicted that miners may liquidate $5 billion worth of Bitcoin after halving, and this sell-off may last four to six months. months, causing Bitcoin to trade sideways in the coming months.
比特币和以太币在6月12日短暂冲高至70000美元和3657美元后，但却无法持续突破关键阻力位，现已回落至66000美元和3500美元水平。正当市场将矛头指向美联储鹰派点阵图，今年降息预测下调至仅1次之际，我有不同的观点。我认为这是由于比特币矿商正在经历减半后的投降，直接限制了价格上涨。加密市场将迎来一个平静的夏季，成交量将较低，并且没有任何明显的催化剂来推动市场。另外，10x Research在4月报告中也对减半后的比特币走势发出警告，其分析师预测矿工可能会在减半后清算价值50亿美元的比特币，这种抛售可能会持续四到六个月，导致比特币在未来几个月内横盘整理。