David ◱ ◱ (@starknet777) • Hey
currently building a protocol
Publications
- Looking to write my first mirror article before the eoy.
What should I write about:
The liquidity trap
My experiences building web3 social apps
How we got lost trying to abstract away the Blockchain
How we can make decentralization sexy again
- just minted my lens x zora nft 😎
- Why trade meme coins when you can trade memes on Lens
- Wow, everything is pumping rn 😅
- The best pancake I ever had
- ▓▓▓▓░░ 71%
Arbitrum's $ARB is coming this Thursday 🦅 🔵
77% of my audience got this airdrop. Congrats everyone, BTW ⚡️
26% is holding no matter the price, and 50% is not selling below null.25.
What is the purpose of the ARB token? 🧵👇
1/11
✅ ABOUT PRICE
I was thrilled to see that almost 80% of the people who voted in my Twitter poll got this airdrop. It's a huge sample of 7300 people
Very happy that so many people are getting their first airdrop, there are 625,143 wallets eligible
https://twitter.com/OlimpioCrypto/status/1636357015684481024
2/11
✅ ABOUT PRICE
In my second poll, 26% is holding.
Only 22% are selling below null.25.
https://twitter.com/OlimpioCrypto/status/1636771668206006272
3/11
✅ ABOUT PRICE
There is also an informal OTC market for ARB, I've seen prices from null to null.50 there today. (image attached)
4/11
✅ ABOUT PRICE
Another speculative price point can be found in protocols like PrePO, where people are betting ARB's FDV on $14.4B (one week after token launch), which is around null.50 per token. (image attached)
5/11
✅ ABOUT PRICE
If you want to have some fun, read this price scenario speculation I posted a few days ago. Don't take it too seriously!
https://twitter.com/OlimpioCrypto/status/1636771626560765969
6/11
✅ TOKENOMICS
• Team & Future Team + Advisors: 26.9%
• DAOs in the ecosystem: 1.1%
• Individual wallets: 11.6%
• 42.8%: DAO Treasury
• Investors: 17.5%
Total supply: 10B tokens
7/11
✅ VESTING
Total Supply schedule
• User & DAO airdrops will be available on Thursday
• Investor & Team tokens have 4-year lockups (1 year cliff)
• First unlock: in one year, then monthly linear unlocks
🔗 Source: https://docs.arbitrum.foundation/airdrop-eligibility-distribution
8/11
✅ GOVERNANCE
• Self-executing governance:
This means that DAO votes will have the power to execute autonomously on-chain. No need for a central authority to "process" DAO decisions
9/11
✅ GOVERNANCE
• For emergencies: the Arbitrum Security Council
A 12-person multi-sig that will be able quick action in case of emergency. 9/12 votes needed. This could be used, for example, to patch a vulnerability
Elections for the Council are held twice annually.
10/11
✅ GOVERNANCE
• $ARB tokens govern both Arbitrum Nova and Nitro
• Voting power is determined by the number of $ARB held
• You can delegate your voting power to others (like olimpio.eth 😉🏛️)
11/11
✅ ARBITRUM "ORBIT"
Orbit will allow developers to easily and permissionlessly launch their own Layer 3 (L3) blockchain in the Arbitrum ecosystem
• L3s can be launched with no DAO approval
• New L2s that want to fork Arbitrum will be able to do it after DAO approval
Stay tuned, I will keep you updated
⚡️ Join instant alpha telegram Alerts: https://t.me/OlimpioAlpha
- Hey guys, how much Arbitrum tokens did u get? can't wait for thursday 😄
- I think ethereum will overtake bitcoin
- How to Market Like Red Bull
#bytes Hey frens! Since my last talking while skateboarding video blew up here's another one 🛹 How to Market Like Red Bull
Not spons, just a simp for their marketing
- Recipe for Potatoballs
here is my auntie cooking in our village, i hope you like it 🙃
- $ARB PRICE SCENARIOS 🦅🔵
Investor price* → Market Cap 85M - ARB $0.07
Pessimistic → Market Cap 360M - ARB $0.30
Moderate → Market Cap 780M - ARB $0.65
Optimistic → Market Cap 1.4B - ARB null.20
Ecstatic 🎉 → Market Cap 3.0B - ARB $2.50
@Arbitrum Thread 🧵 - Let's estimate 🧠
$ARB is launching in 6 days
Snapshot Date: Feb 6th 2023
Many active DeFi got this airdrop (12% of the total supply)
How much could $ARB be worth a few days after launch?
1/18
Arbitrum One is the biggest Ethereum Layer2 blockchain in the space, by TVL and market share
• Market share: 55%
• TVL: $3.7B
2/18
Today we will roughly try to estimate $ARB price valuation a few days after launch - after the dust settles. By using:
• Total & initial circulating supply
• Market Benchmarks
• Percentage airdropped
3/18
TOKENOMICS
• Team & Advisors: 26.94%
• Investors: 17.53%
• Treasury: 42.78%
• Airdrop to users: 11.62%
• Airdrop to Arbitrum DAOs: 1.13%
4/18
TOKEN SUPPLY
• Total supply: 10B tokens (10,000,000,000)
• Circulating supply on 1st day: roughly 1.2B (1,200,000,000)
~12% of total supply
User airdrop is immediately unlocked. It's safe to assume that Airdrop to Arbitrum DAOs will not enter the market right away
5/18
AIRDROP CRITERIA
• Conducting transactions during 2-9 distinct months
• Transaction frequency & interaction (4-100)
• Arbitrum Nova activity: 3-10 transactions
• Bridging to Arbitrum & Arbitrum Nova
• Transaction value: $10k-$250k
• Providing liquidity: $10k-$250k
6/18
🔗 Check your eligibility here: arbitrum.foundation
🚨 Careful with scam links, always get your link from @Arbitrum twitter
Now, let's try to make scenarios for $ARB's price 👇
7/18
FDV AND MARKET CAP MEANING
• Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) = total supply * token price
• Market cap = circulating supply * token price
With $ARB numbers:
FDV = 10B * token price
Market cap = 1.2B * token price
Token price = ❓
8/18
SPECULATING INVESTOR'S PRICE
According to Crunchbase, Offchain Labs raised 120M.
Investors are getting ~17% of the token supply, which is around 1.7B tokens.
If they bought 1.7B tokens for $120M, then that's around $0.07 per ARB. Pure speculation 👀
9/18
The best benchmarks for $ARB are Optimism and Polygon, but we can also work with other chains. Let's compare:
• Polygon $MATIC
• Optimism $OP
• Fantom $FTM
• Solana $SOL
10/18
Optimism $OP - the 2nd biggest Ethereum L2
• TVL: $950 million (DefiLlama)
• FDV: $10.8 billion
• Market cap: $800 million
If $ARB had this FDV, its price would be ~null.08
11/18
Polygon $MATIC
• TVL: null.05 billion
• FDV: $11.8 billion
• Market cap: $10.7 billion
If $ARB had this FDV, its price would be ~null.18
12/18
Fantom $FTM
• TVL: $445 million
• FDV: null.4 billion
• Market cap: null.2 billion
If $ARB had this FDV, its price would be ~$0.14
13/18
Solana $SOL
• TVL: $245 million
• Market cap: $7.7 billion
• FDV: $10.9 billion
If $ARB had this FDV, its price would be ~null.09
14/18
Summarizing:
• $ARB with the FDV of $OP: null.08
• $ARB with the FDV of $MATIC: null.18
• $ARB with the FDV of $FTM: $0.14
• $ARB with the FDV of $SOL: null.09
15/18
If the market prices ARB at the same level as OP and MATIC (~10B FDV) then token price could be ~null.00
In contrast, for ARB price to be $3.00, its FDV needs to be 3 times the size of OP's.
Yes, Arbitrum has two times Optimism's TVL, but I don't know if that is enough.
16/18
PRICE SCENARIOS
Pessimistic → Market Cap 360M - ARB $0.30
Moderate → Market Cap 780M - ARB $0.65
Optimistic → Market Cap 1.4B - ARB null.20
Ecstatic 🎉 → Market Cap 3.0B - ARB $2.50
17/18
The first hours of trading will probably be a mess, so expect volatility.
These numbers are just a price iteration and comparison to what's already out there. I don't expect them to make sense the first day of trading.
18/18
LIQUIDITY
Remember Optimism partnered with Wintermute for liquidity on $OP launch; we should wait to see how Arbitrum does it. I think they will surely take care of initial liquidity.
At which price would you sell $ARB?
⚡️ Join me on Telegram for lightning-fast alpha notifications: https://t.me/OlimpioAlpha
👥 Also, lots of DeFi and Airdrop talk is going on inside Earndrop's server, join here: https://earndrop.io/discord
- Is Ethereum officially a security? A lawsuit against KuCoin by the New York Attorney General could have major consequences for investors in ether and other proof-of-stake cryptocurrencies.@skesslr.lens @cheyenneligon.lens explain
https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2023/03/09/what-happens-if-ethereum-is-a-security/?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&utm_content=editorial&utm_term=organic&utm_campaign=coindesk_main
- can we post emojis on Lens ? If so, drop one below
- Please be careful buying the dip, i personally wait for the Data to come out first.
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GM FURTHERMORE HENLO
|__________ _____I
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- | ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄|
GM FURTHERMORE HENLO
|__________ _____I
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GM FURTHERMORE HENLO
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- The Revenue Split is here 🤑
Exciting news!
Lenstube now features revenue sharing for content creators. This allows for transparent and automated distribution of revenue among multiple accounts. 💪
For example, revenue from a video can be automatically split among the artists, producers, and other stakeholders involved in the creation. 📽️ Splits can foster a more collaborative and equitable ecosystem. 🌿
- new day, new me
- airdrop szn has begun, blur was insane
- $ZZ airdrop data 🪂
Today ZigZag released their airdrop information. Over 110,000 addresses qualify to claim $ZZ
Airdrop date: on or before Feb 28, that's 4 days from now.
Airdrop breakdown how to check if you can claim 🧵👇
1/10
Airdrop information
• Total addresses airdropped: after all airdrops around 110,000 addresses
• Total ZZ airdropped: after all airdrops around 35,000,000 ZZ (35% of supply)
2/10
Airdrop information
There are 7 possible ways to be eligible to this airdrop.
1. Trader airdrop
2. Gitcoin donor
3. Atlendis LP
4. MM bot airdrop
5. Discord Member
6. POAP holder
7. IDO participant
Let's break this down:
TRADER AIRDROP (1/7)
Criteria:
• 300 ZZ/address
• 1-month activity (1st & last swap 30 days apart)
• 4 unique days with swaps
Early adopter bonus:
• 300+ ZZ if 1st swap before 1 Dec 21
• 100+ ZZ if 1st swap before 1 Jan 22
🔗 search your wallet: https://zigzag-data-2.s3.amazonaws.com/trader_eligible_addresses.csv
GITCOIN DONOR (2/7)
Criteria:
2 ZZ for every USD donated (3 USD minimum)
🔗 search your wallet: https://zigzag-data-2.s3.amazonaws.com/gitcoin_eligible.csv
ATLENDIS LP (3/7)
Criteria:
500 ZZ per depositor (5 USD minimum)
🔗 search your wallet: https://zigzag-data-2.s3.amazonaws.com/atlendis_eligible_addresses.csv
MM BOT AIRDROP (4/7)
* This airdrop was already distributed. It was the first one.
Criteria:
ZZ based on amount of trades
🔗 search your wallet: https://docs.zigzag.exchange/zigzag-exchange/airdrops/mm-bot-airdrop
Check your wallet in https://zkscan.io/, airdrop already distributed.
DISCORD MEMBER AIRDROP (5/7)
Criteria:
ZZ based on Member role (1000 ZZ to Og, 750 ZZ to Senior, 500 ZZ to Member)
🔗 search your wallet: coming soon
POAP HOLDERS (6/7)
Criteria:
300 ZZ per POAP holder (https://poap.gallery/event/27697)
🔗 search your wallet: https://3059672253-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FvfgwOIiMma9VlJTwj0yt%2Fuploads%2FC7n2Ct9GFsxFaT4e8yXB%2FZigZag%20Exchange%20Lantern%20Festival%20Trivia.csv?alt=media&token=de2f2e43-5131-4fae-b791-4288ac784e6c
IDO PARTICIPANT (7/7)
Criteria:
3 ZZ for every ZZ purchased (1 ZZ minimum)
🔗 search your wallet: https://zigzag-data-2.s3.amazonaws.com/ido_eligible.csv
10/10
Airdrop will be claimed on or before February 28th, according to messages in their discord.
Full airdrop data: https://docs.zigzag.exchange/zigzag-exchange/airdrops
⚡️
- Pls collect this tweet #Yasai
- started a new campaign #Yasai
- A New @lensprotocol @lenster.lens Quest was added!
Pond of Phi - Create a land with "lens.[your ens].eth" (e.g. lens.vitalik.eth) & Set the Lenster Baseplate.
Let's connect the lands with lens.[your ens].eth to a single view, which can represent Lens World🌿🌍
Claim New Qust Object!↓
http://quest.philand.xyz/items/0x3D8C06e65ebf06A9d40F313a35353be06BD46038/104801
- Champions League season has begun. Which soccer club do you support ?
- Aave 🤝 Ledger
You can now access the Aave Protocol natively in the Ledger Enterprise platform.
Learn more here 👉 https://help.vault.ledger.com/Content/smart_contract/aave.html
- I just contributed to the 🕯️ KZG Ceremony 🕯️ using 0x63156…db8b to help scale Ethereum
↓ Add your own randomness ↓ ceremony.ethereum.org