Pinar (@pinar) • Hey
Pinar (@pinar) • Hey
Publications
- I just voted "Yes" on "Stargate ImmuneFi Bug Bounty Program" https://snapshot.org/#/stgdao.eth/proposal/0xc87599acecab6170b5e728a579faf7eed0a5cedb7fb3bb7b8071100610665e78 #SnapshotVote
- I just voted "Yes" on "Aptos Foundation and Layer Zero Proposal" https://snapshot.org/#/stgdao.eth/proposal/0xcf50734221eca0c197e6d78aa9a4ccf7f5a823088718b3bfa849b1342a7e7840 #Snapshot
- I just voted "No" on "Stargate DAO - Arrakis PALM" https://snapshot.org/#/stgdao.eth/proposal/0x747abdac9511413bf6bd752a9a5bbec93d07c68f57966429142eb26a92c09720 #Snapshot
- I just voted "yes" on "Proposal to Approve Stargate Deployment on Scroll" https://snapshot.org/#/stgdao.eth/proposal/0x1a1199e257551beac23b21fdba98f6efba2773a52135ad848fc6ad5b22b5d627 #Snapshot
- I just voted "Yes" on "Stargate Deployment on IDEX/XCHAIN" https://snapshot.org/#/stgdao.eth/proposal/0x6078a960e2cb6b518dddc3773f7f40b30ab76bc6f2f3de2022eaafe78c8ee0a1 #Snapshot
- I just voted "Yes" on "Stargate Deployment On Kava" https://snapshot.org/#/stgdao.eth/proposal/0xed5fe9d40c9e82a53c548d4458fdca91d6d26c12cc34303c205906b5e1854e29 #Snapshot
- I just voted "Yes" on "Ammendment to SIP#20 - Continued Balance and Rebalancing" https://snapshot.org/#/stgdao.eth/proposal/0x5280241b4ccc9b7c5088e657a714d28fa89bd5305a1ff0abf0736438c446ae98 #Snapshot
- I just voted "Yes" on "Ammendment to SIP#20 - Continued Balance and Rebalancing" https://snapshot.org/#/stgdao.eth/proposal/0x5280241b4ccc9b7c5088e657a714d28fa89bd5305a1ff0abf0736438c446ae98 #Snapshot
- I just voted "Yes" on "$ARB Token Allocation" https://snapshot.org/#/stgdao.eth/proposal/0x108a9e597560c4f249cd8be23acd409059fcd17bb2290d69a550ac2232676e7d #Snapshot
- I just voted "Yes" on "Add Euro Coin ($EUROC) to Stargate" https://snapshot.org/#/stgdao.eth/proposal/0xcbefd708a0b64d9e9d634e5d7f57c5056b59285b6a5ba18492cfea4db6a53104 #Snapshot
- I just voted "Yes I had heard of Amplicata" on "Poll by @rickydata.lens" https://snapshot.org/#/polls.lenster.xyz/proposal/0x924c7790d5bb38f6e8b475c4307dd9b4e19f75ef69c9dcaa07cb4266b9f8a997 #Snapshot
- I just voted "Option 1 (Only Front)" on "What is the Linea SWAG that you would like to see at upcoming events? " https://snapshot.org/#/linea-build.eth/proposal/0xda4f201a37ea08cf1892418e7b9e88f5687a68dbdc96c3ab22abaa1c7244648e #Snapshot
- Until next time, Tokyo ✌️
Featuring: @ethglobal.lens, @galverse.lens, and DAO Tokyo
- gm y'all
- I just voted "Yes" on "Make Velodrome the STG Hub on Optimism" https://snapshot.org/#/stgdao.eth/proposal/0xf980d6deed62c3d77dd055963724b9d07ea0f383a2142703e5581c8e751b06ad #snapshotlabs
- I just voted "Yes" on "Create a Secure UniswapV3 Oracle for STG with Arrakis PALM" https://snapshot.org/#/stgdao.eth/proposal/0x9b511ccf8bd097176255da63725877de9f80caeea8a28256ff50dfad10a3820d #snapshotlabs
- When sb collect my post :)
- I'm exploring Lens ecosystem :)
- Went to Thin Air @ The Beams in London with @paris.lens and @caviar.lens and impressed how epic it was
- Crazy cats
Dont't mess with cats :)
- gm Lenster fam 🌸
We are excited to announce the launch of our new Snapshot voting feature. Now you can have your say on important community decisions by simply voting from Lenster.
If you paste any Snapshot URL, it will turn into an interactive widget where you can vote for a proposal. You can also use it with your Lens follower NFTs by configuring Snapshot strategies 🚀
Vote us below if you like this feature 😉 https://snapshot.org/#/yoginth.eth/proposal/0x9287c40edcd68c362c7c4139fe3489bbaaa27cf4de68be5c218a82d0f252e718
- Gm guys 🙂
- I just voted "Yes ser 🙌" on "Do you like the Snapshot integration with Lenster?" https://snapshot.org/#/yoginth.eth/proposal/0x9287c40edcd68c362c7c4139fe3489bbaaa27cf4de68be5c218a82d0f252e718 #snapshotlabs
- I just voted "Yes" on "Make Velodrome the STG Hub on Optimism" https://snapshot.org/#/stgdao.eth/proposal/0xd78c441994d140edde34131051113479651c593ab83badebc537a347ba86b705 #snapshotlabs
- $ARB PRICE SCENARIOS 🦅🔵
Investor price* → Market Cap 85M - ARB $0.07
Pessimistic → Market Cap 360M - ARB $0.30
Moderate → Market Cap 780M - ARB $0.65
Optimistic → Market Cap 1.4B - ARB null.20
Ecstatic 🎉 → Market Cap 3.0B - ARB $2.50
@Arbitrum Thread 🧵 - Let's estimate 🧠
$ARB is launching in 6 days
Snapshot Date: Feb 6th 2023
Many active DeFi got this airdrop (12% of the total supply)
How much could $ARB be worth a few days after launch?
1/18
Arbitrum One is the biggest Ethereum Layer2 blockchain in the space, by TVL and market share
• Market share: 55%
• TVL: $3.7B
2/18
Today we will roughly try to estimate $ARB price valuation a few days after launch - after the dust settles. By using:
• Total & initial circulating supply
• Market Benchmarks
• Percentage airdropped
3/18
TOKENOMICS
• Team & Advisors: 26.94%
• Investors: 17.53%
• Treasury: 42.78%
• Airdrop to users: 11.62%
• Airdrop to Arbitrum DAOs: 1.13%
4/18
TOKEN SUPPLY
• Total supply: 10B tokens (10,000,000,000)
• Circulating supply on 1st day: roughly 1.2B (1,200,000,000)
~12% of total supply
User airdrop is immediately unlocked. It's safe to assume that Airdrop to Arbitrum DAOs will not enter the market right away
5/18
AIRDROP CRITERIA
• Conducting transactions during 2-9 distinct months
• Transaction frequency & interaction (4-100)
• Arbitrum Nova activity: 3-10 transactions
• Bridging to Arbitrum & Arbitrum Nova
• Transaction value: $10k-$250k
• Providing liquidity: $10k-$250k
6/18
🔗 Check your eligibility here: arbitrum.foundation
🚨 Careful with scam links, always get your link from @Arbitrum twitter
Now, let's try to make scenarios for $ARB's price 👇
7/18
FDV AND MARKET CAP MEANING
• Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) = total supply * token price
• Market cap = circulating supply * token price
With $ARB numbers:
FDV = 10B * token price
Market cap = 1.2B * token price
Token price = ❓
8/18
SPECULATING INVESTOR'S PRICE
According to Crunchbase, Offchain Labs raised 120M.
Investors are getting ~17% of the token supply, which is around 1.7B tokens.
If they bought 1.7B tokens for $120M, then that's around $0.07 per ARB. Pure speculation 👀
9/18
The best benchmarks for $ARB are Optimism and Polygon, but we can also work with other chains. Let's compare:
• Polygon $MATIC
• Optimism $OP
• Fantom $FTM
• Solana $SOL
10/18
Optimism $OP - the 2nd biggest Ethereum L2
• TVL: $950 million (DefiLlama)
• FDV: $10.8 billion
• Market cap: $800 million
If $ARB had this FDV, its price would be ~null.08
11/18
Polygon $MATIC
• TVL: null.05 billion
• FDV: $11.8 billion
• Market cap: $10.7 billion
If $ARB had this FDV, its price would be ~null.18
12/18
Fantom $FTM
• TVL: $445 million
• FDV: null.4 billion
• Market cap: null.2 billion
If $ARB had this FDV, its price would be ~$0.14
13/18
Solana $SOL
• TVL: $245 million
• Market cap: $7.7 billion
• FDV: $10.9 billion
If $ARB had this FDV, its price would be ~null.09
14/18
Summarizing:
• $ARB with the FDV of $OP: null.08
• $ARB with the FDV of $MATIC: null.18
• $ARB with the FDV of $FTM: $0.14
• $ARB with the FDV of $SOL: null.09
15/18
If the market prices ARB at the same level as OP and MATIC (~10B FDV) then token price could be ~null.00
In contrast, for ARB price to be $3.00, its FDV needs to be 3 times the size of OP's.
Yes, Arbitrum has two times Optimism's TVL, but I don't know if that is enough.
16/18
PRICE SCENARIOS
Pessimistic → Market Cap 360M - ARB $0.30
Moderate → Market Cap 780M - ARB $0.65
Optimistic → Market Cap 1.4B - ARB null.20
Ecstatic 🎉 → Market Cap 3.0B - ARB $2.50
17/18
The first hours of trading will probably be a mess, so expect volatility.
These numbers are just a price iteration and comparison to what's already out there. I don't expect them to make sense the first day of trading.
18/18
LIQUIDITY
Remember Optimism partnered with Wintermute for liquidity on $OP launch; we should wait to see how Arbitrum does it. I think they will surely take care of initial liquidity.
At which price would you sell $ARB?
⚡️ Join me on Telegram for lightning-fast alpha notifications: https://t.me/OlimpioAlpha
👥 Also, lots of DeFi and Airdrop talk is going on inside Earndrop's server, join here: https://earndrop.io/discord
- 💃
- This is Lenny
- Create together, earn together 🌿
Creators can now split revenue earned from Collects.
Share earnings with as many as 5 creators. With custom percentage splits.
Collects is among the most popular features on Lens.
We recently added the option to set limited quantities and/or time limits to collectible posts.
We’re excited to offer new ways for collectors to support creators, and for creators to monetize with Collects.
Learn how to implement the Multi recipient Fee Collect Module in our dev docs: https://docs.lens.xyz/docs/create-post-typed-data#multirecipientfeecollectmodule
Start using Splits today on @buttrfly.lens , @lenster.lens & @lenstube.lens - with more soon to come!
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Lens 🤝 @gitcoin.lens watch this space.
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