Alienswap (@alienswap) • Hey
Alienswap (@alienswap) • Hey
Publications
- Be aware of the risks all the time, in particular now and before halving
- Bitcoin is at the intersection of user cases among commodity, internet companies and fiats
- The market is at its 3rd step this year. Major breakout is due
- Here is where we start in the new bull run
- The Fed is expanding its balance sheet again. The bear market is really over
- This is the SVB solution: BTFP, a loan instead of taxpayer’s money
- 10 must-have crypto research tools
- Comparing the speed of US interest hikes historically - this one is the steepest. How will it end, the same way down?
- With the latest loan solution from Department of Treasury and Federal Reserve, the large unrealized loss across the US banking industry is covered, at least until the next quant easing
- Comparing the speed of US interest hikes historically - this one is the steepest. How will it end, the same way down?
- The implied end-point interest rate changed dramatically these few days. The market has smelled quant easing and is getting ready, thanks to the SVB incident
- Looking at SBF's donation list, we have a pretty good idea who to lobby and remove that potential electricity tax charge in Biden's budget proposal
- Historically, Fed cut rates in response to crisis. The time is near
- Looking at every economic crisis in the history of the United States, the period when stocks fell the most, was not when the Fed raised interest rates, but rather when the interest rate hike ended and began to drop.
That’s exactly what happened in 2008, and the year $Bitcoin was born.
Financial decentralization prevails.
- Bank of Canada holds Interest Rates Steady, Citing Slowdown in Inflation to below 6% and economic activity stalling in the fourth quarter
[Bank of Canada Holds Interest Rates Steady, Citing Slowdown in Inflation](https://www.wsj.com/articles/bank-of-canada-holds-interest-rates-steady-citing-slowdown-in-inflation-c02aa8cd)
The central bank said the decision was also based on recent data showing economic activity stalling in the fourth quarter.
- Looking at every economic crisis in the history of the United States, the period when stocks fell the most, was not when the Fed raised interest rates, but rather when the interest rate hike ended and began to drop.
That’s exactly what happened in 2008, and the year $Bitcoin was born.
Financial decentralization prevails.
- Remember this is still where we are in the long run
- $BTC: short-term holder’s realized price crossed the overall realized price from below, a sign that we are climbing out of the bottom
- The evolution of $Bitcoin’s circulating supply
- Number of tech employees let go in the past year. Soft landing expected? Given recent nonfarm employment data
- There’s consensus on the current stage of the market - accumulation
- Mind the two sets of trend lines
- Quitters never win and winners never quit.
- The longest way must have its close； the gloomiest night will wear on to a morning.
- Life is too short for long-term grudges.
- Don‘t cry because it is over, smile because it happened.
- The last time Tether printed 2 billion USDT in 1 day was February 13
- #Bitcoin is underperforming since #Silvergate shuttered the Silvergate Exchange Network on Friday, shortly after Moody’s downgraded the crypto bank. However, $BTC is rebounding off the bottom-end of a bullish trend channel, in place since mid-January. Next target: $23,000.
- We are pretty close, or right at the point of maximum opportunity. Or have we passed it already ;)
- The growth of #Bitcoin ecosystem recently has been impressive.
From #DeFi to #NFT, wallet, infra and more 👇
- The people have spoken. #BTC
- Total nominal return indexes, 1802-2006
- Signs of excessiveness and extremism
- The November 28th cycles theory. Coincidence or behavioral finance?
- Comparing 2019 and 2023 - 500 days before $BTC halving
- The $BTC halving schedule
- $BTC network cost basis, 2-year EMA
- Similarly,
- All tech startups went through this. So did Bitcoin.
- Periodicity is the key impact factor in this market
- BTC vs. US Dollar Index (DXY). Is this periodic too?
- Do you see the similarity ;)
- Historically, FFR always peaks when the 2-year minus 1-year treasury yields drops below zero. The interest cut is near. Maybe later this year. We will have a better idea after April
- Get ready for the feast, folks
- And hold on to your favorite tokens tight
- The CPI fall in April, largely induced by BLS rule change, is expected to boost risky assets significantly
- The impact of the new BLS rules on CPI 2023
- Daily active users on @LensProtocol.lens trending 🆙
- #Bitcoin Cycle Of Dominance #Yasai
- And this, I must say, is too good to be true ;)