abrahamtas (@abrahamtas) • Hey
abrahamtas (@abrahamtas) • Hey
Publications
- Where can I do this 3D printing? I also want one of these lenses
- We know.
You and I, we, us, they and also them.
We know we ALL LOVE SPAM 😍😍😍😍
...
NOT 😂
In fact, we want to make everyone's experience the best, for promoters, curators and everyone else in this beautiful garden.
For that, we'll be pushing for both a broader and more curated experience promoting your content on @lensprotocol.
To begin with, we have raised the minimum budget for promoting with @wav3s to 1.5 WMatic. You will no longer see posts offering 0.1 x 1 mirror rewards.
This is only the beggining (friends we are almost 3 months old!! 😳), more improvements forever to come!!!
Also check our new landing page, is it cute or not 💅
- $ARB PRICE SCENARIOS 🦅🔵
Investor price* → Market Cap 85M - ARB $0.07
Pessimistic → Market Cap 360M - ARB $0.30
Moderate → Market Cap 780M - ARB $0.65
Optimistic → Market Cap 1.4B - ARB null.20
Ecstatic 🎉 → Market Cap 3.0B - ARB $2.50
@Arbitrum Thread 🧵 - Let's estimate 🧠
$ARB is launching in 6 days
Snapshot Date: Feb 6th 2023
Many active DeFi got this airdrop (12% of the total supply)
How much could $ARB be worth a few days after launch?
1/18
Arbitrum One is the biggest Ethereum Layer2 blockchain in the space, by TVL and market share
• Market share: 55%
• TVL: $3.7B
2/18
Today we will roughly try to estimate $ARB price valuation a few days after launch - after the dust settles. By using:
• Total & initial circulating supply
• Market Benchmarks
• Percentage airdropped
3/18
TOKENOMICS
• Team & Advisors: 26.94%
• Investors: 17.53%
• Treasury: 42.78%
• Airdrop to users: 11.62%
• Airdrop to Arbitrum DAOs: 1.13%
4/18
TOKEN SUPPLY
• Total supply: 10B tokens (10,000,000,000)
• Circulating supply on 1st day: roughly 1.2B (1,200,000,000)
~12% of total supply
User airdrop is immediately unlocked. It's safe to assume that Airdrop to Arbitrum DAOs will not enter the market right away
5/18
AIRDROP CRITERIA
• Conducting transactions during 2-9 distinct months
• Transaction frequency & interaction (4-100)
• Arbitrum Nova activity: 3-10 transactions
• Bridging to Arbitrum & Arbitrum Nova
• Transaction value: $10k-$250k
• Providing liquidity: $10k-$250k
6/18
🔗 Check your eligibility here: arbitrum.foundation
🚨 Careful with scam links, always get your link from @Arbitrum twitter
Now, let's try to make scenarios for $ARB's price 👇
7/18
FDV AND MARKET CAP MEANING
• Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) = total supply * token price
• Market cap = circulating supply * token price
With $ARB numbers:
FDV = 10B * token price
Market cap = 1.2B * token price
Token price = ❓
8/18
SPECULATING INVESTOR'S PRICE
According to Crunchbase, Offchain Labs raised 120M.
Investors are getting ~17% of the token supply, which is around 1.7B tokens.
If they bought 1.7B tokens for $120M, then that's around $0.07 per ARB. Pure speculation 👀
9/18
The best benchmarks for $ARB are Optimism and Polygon, but we can also work with other chains. Let's compare:
• Polygon $MATIC
• Optimism $OP
• Fantom $FTM
• Solana $SOL
10/18
Optimism $OP - the 2nd biggest Ethereum L2
• TVL: $950 million (DefiLlama)
• FDV: $10.8 billion
• Market cap: $800 million
If $ARB had this FDV, its price would be ~null.08
11/18
Polygon $MATIC
• TVL: null.05 billion
• FDV: $11.8 billion
• Market cap: $10.7 billion
If $ARB had this FDV, its price would be ~null.18
12/18
Fantom $FTM
• TVL: $445 million
• FDV: null.4 billion
• Market cap: null.2 billion
If $ARB had this FDV, its price would be ~$0.14
13/18
Solana $SOL
• TVL: $245 million
• Market cap: $7.7 billion
• FDV: $10.9 billion
If $ARB had this FDV, its price would be ~null.09
14/18
Summarizing:
• $ARB with the FDV of $OP: null.08
• $ARB with the FDV of $MATIC: null.18
• $ARB with the FDV of $FTM: $0.14
• $ARB with the FDV of $SOL: null.09
15/18
If the market prices ARB at the same level as OP and MATIC (~10B FDV) then token price could be ~null.00
In contrast, for ARB price to be $3.00, its FDV needs to be 3 times the size of OP's.
Yes, Arbitrum has two times Optimism's TVL, but I don't know if that is enough.
16/18
PRICE SCENARIOS
Pessimistic → Market Cap 360M - ARB $0.30
Moderate → Market Cap 780M - ARB $0.65
Optimistic → Market Cap 1.4B - ARB null.20
Ecstatic 🎉 → Market Cap 3.0B - ARB $2.50
17/18
The first hours of trading will probably be a mess, so expect volatility.
These numbers are just a price iteration and comparison to what's already out there. I don't expect them to make sense the first day of trading.
18/18
LIQUIDITY
Remember Optimism partnered with Wintermute for liquidity on $OP launch; we should wait to see how Arbitrum does it. I think they will surely take care of initial liquidity.
At which price would you sell $ARB?
⚡️ Join me on Telegram for lightning-fast alpha notifications: https://t.me/OlimpioAlpha
👥 Also, lots of DeFi and Airdrop talk is going on inside Earndrop's server, join here: https://earndrop.io/discord
- THE BLOCK: Binance tops up backstop fund with $215 million in bitcoin and BNB
[Binance tops up backstop fund with $215 million in bitcoin and BNB](https://www.theblock.co/post/184593/binance-tops-up-backstop-fund-with-215-million-in-bitcoin-and-bnb)
Binance is topping up an emergency fund designed to protect users amid pronounced volatility in crypto markets triggered by the drama surrounding its dispute with, and subsequent acquisition of FTX.
- COINDESK: Stablecoin Issuer Circle Plays Down FTX, Alameda Exposure
[Stablecoin Issuer Circle Plays Down FTX, Alameda Exposure](https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/11/09/stablecoin-issuer-circle-plays-down-ftx-alameda-exposure/)
FTX was one of the investors in Circle's 2021 financing round of $440 million.
- In True Halloween Form, Zombie Coins Just Won’t Die
[In True Halloween Form, Zombie Coins Just Won’t Die](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-31/happy-halloween-from-zombie-coins-that-just-won-t-die)
While not entirely active, these virtually defunct tokens are still multiplying.
- CATHIE WOOD SAYS SHE'S STANDING BY HER BULLISH BETS ON TESLA, ROKU AND BITCOIN
[Cathie Wood says she's standing by her bullish bets on Tesla, Roku and bitcoin](https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/27/cathie-wood-says-shes-standing-by-her-bullish-bets-on-tesla-roku-and-bitcoin.html)
"We stand by all of them," Wood said when asked about her opinion on Tesla, Roku and bitcoin.
- Crypto Custody Firm Anchorage Digital to Be Preferred Custodian for Layer 1 Blockchain Aptos Labs
[Crypto Custody Firm Anchorage Digital to Be Preferred Custodian for Layer 1 Blockchain Aptos Labs](https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/09/27/crypto-custody-firm-anchorage-digital-to-be-preferred-custodian-for-layer-1-blockchain-aptos-labs/)
The partnership signals the growing institutional adoption of crypto.
- Jack Mallers’ Crypto Payment Firm Strike Raises $80M Series B
[Jack Mallers’ Crypto Payment Firm Strike Raises $80M Series B](https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/09/27/jack-mallers-crypto-payment-firm-strike-raises-80m-series-b/)
The Bitcoin payment provider also attracted investment from Washington University in St. Louis and the University of Wyoming.
- THE BLOCK: Robinhood launches self-custody wallet to 10,000 waitlist users
[Robinhood launches self-custody wallet to 10,000 waitlist users](https://www.theblock.co/post/173073/robinhood-launches-self-custody-wallet-to-10000-waitlist-users)
Robinhood Wallet will bring crypto trading to users around the globe, initially launching to 10,000 iOS users in beta.
- THE BLOCK: Cosmos contributors release new whitepaper showcasing two big ideas
[Cosmos contributors release new whitepaper showcasing two big ideas](https://www.theblock.co/post/172998/cosmos-contributors-release-new-whitepaper-showcasing-two-big-ideas)
On Monday, a group of Cosmos contributors released a new whitepaper that outlines a plan to add two new functionalities to the Cosmos Hub.
- BINANCE.COM BLOG: Binance Labs Leads $8.5 Million Seed Funding for Bitquery to Support Development of Blockchain Data Solutions
[Binance Blog Articles](https://www.binance.com/en/blog)
Stay up to date with the latest stories and commentary brought to you by Binance, the world's leading blockchain and crypto
- COINTELEGRAPH: Nexo acquires stake in US chartered bank
[Nexo acquires stake in US chartered bank](https://cointelegraph.com/news/nexo-acquires-stake-in-us-chartered-bank)
Nexo's acquisition target, Summit National Bank, is regulated by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency.
- COINTELEGRAPH: Nexo acquires stake in US chartered bank
[Nexo acquires stake in US chartered bank](https://cointelegraph.com/news/nexo-acquires-stake-in-us-chartered-bank)
Nexo's acquisition target, Summit National Bank, is regulated by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency.
- THE BLOCK: Powell: Crypto market downturn gives regulators ‘more time’
[Powell: Crypto market downturn gives regulators 'more time'](https://www.theblock.co/post/173034/powell-crypto-market-downturn-gives-regulators-more-time)
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sees cryptomarket downturn as a benefit giving regulators more time to pass “appropriate” regulation.
- COINTELEGRAPH: Ethereum fork token ETHPoW climbs 150% after smart contract hack — a fakeout ETHW rally?
[Ethereum fork token ETHPoW climbs 150% after smart contract hack — a fakeout ETHW rally?](https://cointelegraph.com/news/ethereum-fork-token-ethpow-climbs-150-after-smart-contract-hack-a-fakeout-ethw-rally)
ETHPoW's hash rate and total-value-locked have risen significantly during ETHW's latest bull run.
- MATIC: Robinhood Selects Polygon to Launch Web3 Wallet Beta
[Robinhood Selects Polygon to Launch Web3 Wallet Beta — Polygon | Blog](https://blog.polygon.technology/robinhood-selects-polygon-to-launch-web3-wallet-beta/)
We are thrilled to announce that Robinhood has chosen Polygon as the first blockchain network to support its newly launched Web3 wallet
- CRYPTO TYCOON’S BITDEER DEBUTS FUND TARGETING DISTRESSED MINERS - BLOOMBERG
[Crypto Tycoon’s Bitdeer Debuts Fund Targeting Distressed Miners](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-27/crypto-tycoon-s-bitdeer-debuts-fund-targeting-distressed-miners)
- SAND: Omnimorphs’ Echoes from the Void — NFT Collection
[Omnimorphs’ Echoes from the Void — NFT Collection](https://sandboxgame.medium.com/omnimorphs-echoes-from-the-void-nft-collection-e0265ab6c13e)
The first NFT drop from the Omnimorphs experience will be available on The Sandbox Marketplace on September 29th (3pm utc).
- THE BLOCK: Smart Token Labs' TokenScript quadruples valuation as it raises $6 million
[Smart Token Labs' TokenScript quadruples valuation as it raises $6 million](https://www.theblock.co/post/173007/smart-token-labs-tokenscript-quadruples-valuation-as-it-raises-6-million)
Open-source software company Smart Token Labs has raised $6 million in a round led by billionaire Liang Xinjun for its TokenScript project.
- COINDESK: Galaxy Digital Partners With Chainlink to Offer Crypto Price Data on Chain
[Galaxy Digital Partners With Chainlink to Offer Crypto Price Data on Chain](https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/09/27/galaxy-digital-partners-with-chainlink-to-offer-crypto-price-data-on-chain/)
Crypto price data will help developers build out their platforms, Galaxy’s head of strategic opportunities said.
- COINDESK: Digital Bank Revolut Wins FCA Registration to Offer Crypto Services in UK
[Digital Bank Revolut Wins FCA Registration to Offer Crypto Services in UK](https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/09/27/digital-bank-revolut-wins-fca-registration-to-offer-crypto-services-in-uk/)
The digital banking service was added to the U.K. financial watchdog's cryptoasset firm register on Sept. 26.
- CRYPTO FOUNDER BEHIND $60 BILLION COLLAPSE SAYS HE IS NOT HIDING AFTER INTERPOL ISSUES ARREST NOTICE - CNBC
[Crypto founder behind $60 billion collapse says he is not hiding after Interpol issues arrest notice](https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/27/do-kwon-says-hes-not-hiding-amid-manhunt-after-ust-luna-collapse.html)
Do Kwon, the founder of Terraform Labs, said is he making "zero effort to hide" from South Korean authorities who are seeking his arrest after the terraUSD collapse.
- What Is a zkEVM?
[What Is a zkEVM? — Polygon | Blog](https://blog.polygon.technology/what-is-a-zkevm/)
What is a zkEVM, and how does it help us make Ethereum cheaper and more efficient to use? If you’re interested in learning more about zkEVM, reach out to Polygon team.
- META: Removing Coordinated Inauthentic Behavior From China and Russia
[Removing Coordinated Inauthentic Behavior From China and Russia | Meta](https://about.fb.com/news/2022/09/removing-coordinated-inauthentic-behavior-from-china-and-russia/)
We took down two unconnected networks in China and Russia for violating our policy against coordinated inauthentic behavior.
- FED’S POWELL SAYS THERE’S ‘REAL NEED’ FOR BETTER CRYPTO REGULATION - BLOOMBERG
[Fed’s Powell Says There’s ‘Real Need’ for Better Crypto Regulation](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-27/powell-says-there-s-real-need-for-better-regulation-of-crypto)
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell called for better regulation of cryptocurrencies and said the fact that the industry’s shakeout failed to cause broader financial turmoil may not be the case in the future.
- SAM BANKMAN-FRIED’S ALAMEDA RESEARCH DRAWS INCREASING ATTENTION - BLOOMBERG
[Sam Bankman-Fried’s Alameda Research Draws Increasing Attention](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-27/sam-bankman-fried-s-alameda-research-draws-increasing-attention)
As the trading firm’s influence spreads and connections come to light, so have concerns over potential conflicts of interests.
- SOUTH KOREA MOVES TO FREEZE BITCOIN TIED TO DO KWON - BLOOMBERG
[South Korea Moves to Freeze Bitcoin Tied to Do Kwon](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-27/south-korea-seeks-to-freeze-bitcoin-btc-linked-to-do-kwon)
South Korean prosecutors are moving to freeze assets linked to Do Kwon, the crypto entrepreneur they are seeking to arrest on suspicion of breaking securities laws.
- BurgerCities New Competition: Hero Firepower & Manufacturing Points Competition
[BurgerCities New Competition: Hero Firepower & Manufacturing Points Competition](https://burgercities.medium.com/burgercities-new-competition-hero-firepower-manufacturing-points-competition-86b0fbc2f0d8)
Burgers!
- Web3 & DAO News: Week 38, 2022
[Web3 & DAO News: Week 38, 2022](https://medium.com/dia-community-hub/web3-dao-news-week-38-2022-58ea0848661c)
It’s the DIA Community Hub News Thread and we’re back with the top Web3 and DAO ecosystem news that would interest you in a…
- The Arrival of ETH 2.0 — DREP Will Further Drive Web 3.0 Adoption in a Top ETH Project Capacity
[The Arrival of ETH 2.0 — DREP Will Further Drive Web 3.0 Adoption in a Top ETH Project Capacity](https://drep-foundation.medium.com/the-arrival-of-eth-2-0-drep-will-further-drive-web-3-0-adoption-in-a-top-eth-project-capacity-653813a56755)
On September 15, 2022, the world of technology has witnessed Ethereum’s successful shift to Proof-of-Stake consensus, which marks a major…
- BITCOIN SURGES 7% TO TOP $20,000, ITS HIGHEST LEVEL IN MORE THAN A WEEK, EVEN AS STOCKS HIT 2022 LOWS - CNBC
[Bitcoin surges 7% to top $20,000, its highest level in more than a week, even as stocks hit 2022 lows](https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/27/bitcoin-btc-price-surges-to-top-20000-even-as-stocks-hit-2022-lows.html)
Bitcoin topped $20,000 on Tuesday, hitting its highest level in the more than a week, but is still struggling to break out of its tight trading range.
- MoonStrike is now #onIMX: Combat, Basebuilding, and Digital Ownership
[MoonStrike is now #onIMX: Combat, Basebuilding, and Digital Ownership](https://immutablex.medium.com/moonstrike-is-now-onimx-combat-basebuilding-and-digital-ownership-97427f1980b8)
Over the last decade, both studios and gamers alike have welcomed free-to-play games with open arms. But, while free-to-play brought…
- Walmart’s new Roblox metaverse tells kids where to ‘find all the best toys’
[Walmart's new Roblox metaverse tells kids where to 'find all the best toys'](https://www.theblock.co/post/172853/walmarts-new-roblox-metaverse-tells-kids-where-to-find-all-the-best-toys)
Big-box retailer Walmart has launched two new experiences on Roblox, the company announced on Monday.
- Deribit raises funds from existing investors at $400 million valuation: sources
[Deribit raises funds from existing investors at $400 million valuation: Sources](https://www.theblock.co/post/172752/deribit-funding-round-internal-400-million-valuation)
Crypto derivatives exchange Deribit has raised funds from existing shareholders at a $400 million valuation, according to people familiar with the deal.
- THE BLOCK: Terraform Labs Founder Do Kwon says he’s ‘making zero effort to hide’
[Terraform Labs Founder Do Kwon says he's 'making zero effort to hide'](https://www.theblock.co/post/172886/terraform-labs-founder-do-kwon-says-hes-making-zero-effort-to-hide)
Terraform Labs founder Do Kwon seemed to brush off the fact he is wanted by authorities.
- COINDESK: Disney’s Latest Job Posting Hints at Big Plans for NFT and Crypto Adoption
[Disney’s Latest Job Posting Hints at Big Plans for NFT and Crypto Adoption](https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/09/26/disneys-latest-job-posting-hints-at-big-plans-for-nft-and-crypto-adoption/)
The company is seeking legal counsel to help it navigate crypto, NFT and DeFi regulations as it expands its Web3 strategy.
- FLOW: OneFootball Partners With Serie A to Bring Digital Collectibles to Fans
[Flow is building the future of culture and community in Web3.](https://flow.com/)
Flow is a Web3 platform powering next gen games, apps and digital assets chosen for its combination of scalability and usability for consumers and developers.
- COMPARING CRYPTO MOVES TO US DOLLAR - BLOOMBERG
[Crypto Report: Comparing Crypto Moves to US Dollar](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2022-09-26/crypto-report-comparing-crypto-moves-to-us-dollar-video)
Bloomberg's Ed Ludlow and Sonali Basak discuss the latest cryptocurrency market moves. (Source: Bloomberg)
- BTT: BitTorrent Weekly Report | 09.19–09.25
[BitTorrent Weekly Report | 09.19–09.25](https://medium.com/@BitTorrent/bittorrent-weekly-report-09-19-09-25-e7ab54a224c1)
Founded with a leading peer-to-peer sharing technology standard in 2004, BitTorrent, Inc. is a consumer software company based in San…
- THE BLOCK: FTX wins auction for bankrupt crypto lender Voyager
[FTX wins auction for bankrupt crypto lender Voyager](https://www.theblock.co/post/172946/ftx-wins-auction-for-bankrupt-crypto-lender-voyager)
FTX has won the auction for bankrupt lender Voyager Digital and its assets with a bid of about null.4 billion.
- JAPAN’S HAKUHODO TO START JOINT VENTURE WITH CRYPTO ENTREPRENEUR - BLOOMBERG
[Japan’s Hakuhodo to Start Joint Venture With Crypto Entrepreneur](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-27/japan-s-hakuhodo-to-start-joint-venture-with-crypto-entrepreneur)
Japanese advertising firm Hakuhodo DY Holdings Inc. will set up a joint venture with one of the nation’s best-known crypto entrepreneurs to help clients build so-called Web3 business.
- BITCOIN RALLY PAST $20,000 HELPS CRYPTO SCALE null TRILLION MARK - BLOOMBERG
[Bitcoin Rally Past $20,000 Helps Crypto Scale null Trillion Mark](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-27/bitcoin-rally-past-20-000-helps-crypto-scale-1-trillion-mark)
Bitcoin jumped past the $20,000 level on Tuesday and cryptocurrencies as a whole climbed back above null trillion in market value, helped by a hiatus in the turmoil that gripped global markets this week.
- Etherium Fair (ETHF) Airdrop Payment Information for Members with Ethereum (ETH)
[업비트](/service_center/notice?id=2982)
디지털 자산, 비트코인, 이더리움, 리플, 에이다, 솔라나 등 알트코인 거래.
- Binance Completes BEP20 Integration of Neblio (NEBL), Opens Deposits and Withdrawals
[Binance Completes BEP20 Integration of Neblio (NEBL), Opens Deposits and Withdrawals | Binance Support](https://www.binance.com/en/support/announcement/0a193519fc684dc8a7ffd9700438281b)
Fellow Binancians, Binance has completed the BEP20 integration of Neblio (NEBL). Deposits and withdrawals for Neblio (NEBL) are opened on BNB Smart Chain (BEP20). Please find your assigned Neblio (...
- ETHEREUM’S MERGE COULD MEAN ‘BIG HEADACHE’ FOR UK TAXMAN - BLOOMBERG
[Ethereum’s Merge Could Mean ‘Big Headache’ for UK Taxman](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-27/staking-after-ethereum-eth-merge-could-cause-tax-issues-in-uk)
An upgrade to the blockchain backing the world’s second-biggest cryptocurrency could trigger widespread tax confusion in the UK, potentially setting back the country’s efforts to establish itself as a crypto hub.
- THE BLOCK: Bitcoin mining represents 0.1% of global greenhouse gas emissions, study finds
[Bitcoin mining represents 0.1% of global greenhouse gas emissions, study finds](https://www.theblock.co/post/172842/bitcoin-mining-represents-0-1-of-global-greenhouse-gas-emissions-study-finds)
Bitcoin mining accounts for 0.10% of greenhouse gas emissions globally, according to a new report from the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance.
- COINDESK: Bitcoin Mining's Sustainable Electricity Mix May Be Declining, Says Cambridge University Research Organization
[Bitcoin Mining's Sustainable Electricity Mix May Be Declining, Says Cambridge University Research Organization](https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/09/27/bitcoin-minings-sustainable-electricity-mix-may-be-declining-says-cambridge-university-research-organization/)
The CCAF uses publicly available data to run a theoretical model to estimate the environmental footprint of bitcoin mining.
- COINTELEGRAPH: Acala Network to resume operations after burning 2.7B in aUSD stablecoin
[Acala Network to resume operations after burning 2.7B in aUSD stablecoin](https://cointelegraph.com/news/acala-network-to-resume-operations-after-burning-2-7b-in-ausd-stablecoin)
Thirty-five accounts were identified as having acquired 12.38 million erroneously minted aUSD.
- El Salvador's pro-Bitcoin president Nayib Bukele announces reelection bid
[El Salvador's pro-Bitcoin president Nayib Bukele announces reelection bid](https://cointelegraph.com/news/el-salvador-s-pro-bitcoin-president-nayib-bukele-announces-reelection-bid)
President Nayib Bukele introduced Bitcoin as a legal tender in the country back in September 2021. But the debate over its impact rages on.